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I've been working on the Analytics X Prize, which deals with predicting homicide rates. I find that I naturally look forward to new datapoints that to validate my model. Unfortunately, these anticipated "new datapoints" are new criminal homicides.

When you're working with datasets that record human tragedies, how do you deal emotionally with the fact that more data would make your job easier, validate your work, etc., but that more data also means more tragedy?

I imagine this would apply similarly to people who study disaster response. When something like the Haiti earthquake hits, the human in them must be horrified, but doesn't the researcher in them also naturally look forward to the research opportunities this sort of event creates?

How do you keep your analysis work from making you callous?

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3 Answers

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I will think that by doing that research maybe I will play a role in decreasing these tragedies in the future.

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That's fine as a justification for doing the work, but my question goes more to how to deal with the affect on your psyche. – Isaac Moses Jan 19 at 14:14
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I see your point, I, too, have been struggling with it. It is very uncomfortable and I have the same feeling!

I have heard more dramatic stories from people in OR who have been involved with policy making Lee Schruben once was telling a story about those who have been working on designing quarantine procedures to prevent the spread of diseases like SARS. When you work on those things you know there will be a number of people who will die due to your algorithm. I don't really know how scientists can design those procedures but I know it takes a lot of confidence in mathematics to design such mechanisms.

Good luck with the competition. OR folks will win :)

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Thanks for your perspective, and good luck to you too! – Isaac Moses Jan 21 at 16:04
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As an aside do you know of good demographic data sets in the public? I've been looking at IPUMS. http://usa.ipums.org/usa/

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